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Week in Space: key developments and our takeaways.
Latest Analysis
Fiber vs. Starlink: Cost vs Capacity
Aug 13, 2025
Fiber vs. Starlink: Cost vs Capacity
BroadbandStarlinkSpaceX
Fiber vs Starlink Cost Model
Premium
Fiber vs Starlink Cost Model
This model compares the levelized cost of broadband capacity from terrestrial fiber versus Starlink, across urban and rural density. Starlink comes...
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Industry News
Pentagon’s Golden Dome includes a space layer, signaling future orbital demand
Aug 12, 2025
Pentagon’s Golden Dome includes a space layer, signaling future orbital demand
PoliticsRegulatory
A U.S. government slide deck shows Golden Dome built on four layers that include satellites plus three land-based tiers, with an ambitious 2028 target. Slides reference an estimated $175 billion cost, $25 billion already appropriated, and a further $45.3 billion requested, along with a potential new NGI missile field. Program details are still evolving, but the plan implies demand for space-based sensing, tracking, and possibly interceptors. For contractors, that suggests multi-year opportunities spanning payloads, launch, and command-and-control. Execution risk and design uncertainty remain key variables for timelines and revenue recognition. 
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SpaceX hits 100th launch of the year with Amazon’s Kuiper KF-02
Aug 11, 2025
SpaceX hits 100th launch of the year with Amazon’s Kuiper KF-02
SpaceX
A Falcon 9 lifted off from Cape Canaveral at 11 August 8:35 a.m. ET, carrying 24 Project Kuiper satellites, marking SpaceX’s 100th mission of 2025. The booster landed on the droneship “A Shortfall of Gravitas,” and deployment is slated over ~56 minutes. The flight brings Kuiper’s on-orbit total to 102 spacecraft and demonstrates SpaceX’s impressive ability to serve competitors while keeping cadence high. The steady tempo supports a robust commercial LEO market and validates the economics of deep reuse.
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AST SpaceMobile posts another underwhelming quarter as direct-to-cell nears
Aug 11, 2025
AST SpaceMobile posts another underwhelming quarter as direct-to-cell nears
AST Spacemobile
AST SpaceMobile reported Q2 revenue of $1.16M and a pretax loss of ~$135M, reflecting the heavy investment period before commercial service. The company’s operating expenses were ~$74M. Results missed expectations, extending their nearly yearlong streak (ASTS has exceeded revenue forecasts once to date). ASTS remains in scale-up mode ahead of broader service deployment. For investors, the near-term story is still balance-sheet management and execution on launches. Watch for follow-on financing and spectrum/launch milestones as catalysts. 
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Rocket Lab posts record quarter, lifts outlook
Aug 8, 2025
Rocket Lab posts record quarter, lifts outlook
Rocket Lab
Rocket Lab reported Q2 revenue of $144.5 million, up 36% year over year, and guided Q3 to $140–150 million while keeping backlog near $1 billion. The operating loss narrowed versus expectations, and investors focused on steady Electron cadence plus Neutron’s approach to the pad. The print underpins the small-launch and space-systems business model moving toward scale. Continued execution keeps Rocket Lab well positioned for national-security missions. 
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Firefly cools after blockbuster IPO
Aug 8, 2025
Firefly cools after blockbuster IPO
Firefly Aerospace fell roughly 10–11% on day two of trading after a sharp debut pop, but analysts framed the move as normal post-IPO volatility. The company raised about $868 million on August 7th at $45 a share, then closed up 34% for a first-day market value near $9.8 billion. The successful listing signals renewed investor appetite for space hardware following its March lunar landing and a recent NASA cargo win. A deeper public capital base should help Firefly scale Alpha launch cadence and Blue Ghost landers.
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AST SpaceMobile grabs global S-band priority rights
Aug 6, 2025
AST SpaceMobile grabs global S-band priority rights
AST Spacemobile
AST SpaceMobile announced an agreement to acquire ITU priority rights for mobile-satellite S-band spectrum, with closing targeted for the second half of 2025. An accompanying SEC 8-K confirms the pact covers 1980–2010 MHz and 2170–2200 MHz for LEO service. The deal complements AST’s recent $575 million convertible raise and strengthens its path to commercial direct-to-cell coverage. More spectrum depth improves service quality and regulatory resilience. 
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Mach33
The Space Finance Group