SpaceX is targeting September 28 for Starship’s first orbital flight. Flight 14 will carry 26 Starlink V3 satellites, and SpaceX plans to land both stages in the ocean. This early test configuration assigns the full construction cost of Booster 21 and Ship 41 to one mission while using less than half of Starship’s stated satellite load.

Customer launch prices in the model depend on when SpaceX sells spare capacity on its Starship rocket. Across Mach33’s simulations, the median result puts average launch revenue at $945 per customer kilogram in 2035.

Mach33 rebuilt the record of every orbital launch attempt since Sputnik: 7,117 launches and 27,537 objects carried as payload, with each launch's mass reconciled to its payload rows within one kilogram. You can retrieve the record for free through the Mach33 Model Context Protocol (MCP), which lets an AI agent request data. The download also includes a Python model governed by 39 definitions that you can change and rerun.